Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.409152 0.469825 0.535724 0.612528 0.699492 0.794811 0.907114
2025-03-09 0.307623 0.387312 0.481340 0.600106 0.745729 0.918048 1.136981
2025-03-16 0.232466 0.319109 0.429546 0.579782 0.777860 1.029000 1.370304
2025-03-23 0.187124 0.278379 0.403298 0.585174 0.841260 1.186673 1.685047
2025-03-30 0.148010 0.237726 0.369120 0.573001 0.878146 1.313850 1.977808
2025-04-06 0.122473 0.211260 0.349683 0.577397 0.937677 1.479214 2.345833
2025-04-13 0.098269 0.181651 0.319716 0.559893 0.960430 1.592272 2.650708
2025-04-20 0.085586 0.168463 0.313362 0.578370 1.041497 1.803909 3.133370
2025-04-27 0.075851 0.158397 0.310255 0.601227 1.132192 2.041165 3.685322
2025-05-04 0.065737 0.145444 0.299520 0.608326 1.195705 2.239506 4.194334
2025-05-11 0.056495 0.132235 0.285838 0.607324 1.243587 2.415140 4.682665
2025-05-18 0.048550 0.120027 0.271864 0.603161 1.284182 2.581182 5.170889
2025-05-25 0.041699 0.108950 0.258626 0.599082 1.325800 2.756761 5.702844
2025-06-01 0.036885 0.101574 0.252046 0.607979 1.394997 2.993567 6.379564
2025-06-08 0.031729 0.092187 0.239252 0.601139 1.430123 3.166930 6.951108
2025-06-15 0.028618 0.087357 0.236219 0.615952 1.514153 3.449335 7.774146
2025-06-22 0.024797 0.079691 0.224858 0.609187 1.548695 3.631600 8.408553
2025-06-29 0.022239 0.074993 0.220132 0.617833 1.619961 3.900711 9.256511
2025-07-06 0.019009 0.067478 0.206554 0.601743 1.629797 4.034672 9.822954
2025-07-13 0.017613 0.065335 0.207271 0.623231 1.734894 4.396168 10.935590
2025-07-20 0.016482 0.063788 0.209406 0.648910 1.853969 4.802667 12.191379
2025-07-27 0.014930 0.060416 0.205563 0.657313 1.929344 5.113231 13.253855
2025-08-03 0.013316 0.056392 0.198973 0.656747 1.980766 5.371023 14.216167